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Weekly Market Commentary

Inflation and rate cut worries dominated the market action. The March CPI showed no improvement for the monthly inflation rate and a slight uptick in the year over year rate, which triggered a large market sell off on fears there would be no rate cuts from the Fed. Other inflation reports later in the week showed similar trends, although the absolute levels remained near or below the Fed’s 2% target. These provided some short-term relief. However, on Friday, several large US banks reported earnings and warned of muted future income due to the high interest rates raising their cost of money. That led to a substantial 475 point sell off in the Dow Jones Industrials and banks and other “value” sectors, in particular. Bond yields rose on the same fears which added further downward........ (click for more)

Benefits of Tactical

CLIENT-CENTRIC INVESTING: 
UTILIZING TACTICAL MANAGERS TO IMPROVE RISK/RETURN

Characteristics of Client Portfolios

The most common method for building multi-asset portfolios is based on Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT). The biggest issue we have with this approach is that it is not aligned with most investors’ view of risk. MPT utilizes a process that seeks an efficient portfolio with a given level of risk measured by return volatility. This misalignment manifests itself when the market is down 36%, and a portfolio is down 33%. In this case, the manager is patted on the back (receives a bonus) for outperforming their benchmark, and the investor is out 1/3 of their investment…  (click for more)

Monthly Market Commentary

It was another month of mixed economic news. Housing remained resilient with strength as new home construction and the services sector are still reporting modest growth. However, manufacturing is still reporting flat to contracting conditions. The labor market showed its first signs of weakening with the February Jobs Report which came in at a paltry 108,000 new jobs when adjusted for the prior two months’ revisions down by a substantial 167,000 jobs. The consumer may also be showing signs of exhaustion with February Core Retail Sales at a 0% adjusted for the month and -2.19% year over year. Inflation is proving stubborn with several reports showing slight upticks in monthly and year over year numbers. Nonetheless, the financial markets ...... (click for more)

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